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England vs USA Prediction – 2022 World Cup

Sean Fenech
November 22, 2022
Modified: November 22, 2022

The USA will play Gareth Southgate’s England team at the Al Bayt Stadium in the World Cup’s 20th game overall and the fourth and final game on November 25 in Qatar. The Three Lions will start as clear favourites, but the USA has enough talent and experience to make it a highly competitive game. This 10 p.m. kick-off will also be eagerly anticipated. Will England live up to their expectations as they pursue a second World Cup victory, or will the US pull off what would rank as one of the greatest upsets of the competition? Whether you are a new or seasoned football gambler, our professional England vs USA prediction will help you make informed World Cup 2022 predictions, and we will show you the best World Cup betting odds and World Cup tips to ensure you play the smart way. Let’s get going!

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Our England vs USA prediction: England to win.

England Preview

It’s fair to argue that, in the six years after England’s Euro 2016 defeat to Iceland, Gareth Southgate has rebuilt and revitalised the country. As a result, the Three Lions advanced to the World Cup semi finals in Russia in 2018 and came agonisingly close to winning the Euro 2020 championship before falling to Italy on penalties.

It could be argued, though, that England’s recent form slump comes at the worst possible time after the team lost all four of its UEFA Nations League games between June 4 and June 14 of this year. A 4-0 thrashing by Hungary during this run raised pressure on Southgate and questions about whether he was getting the most out of his talented group of players. According to our and others’ football predictions, they are still expected to perform well in Qatar, so they will need to win this match in order to advance to the knockout rounds.

World Cup History

Prior to 1950, England had never participated in the World Cup, and that year in Brazil, their performance led to their group stage elimination. A goal from Joe Gaetjens caused one of the biggest surprises in World Cup history when the Three Lions lost to the USA in Belo Horizonte during this tournament.

The team performed better in 1954 and 1962, making it to the quarterfinals, and in a tournament held at home in 1966, a passionate crowd encouraged England to their greatest victory ever. The Three Lions defeated Germany 4-2 at Wembley to win the Jules Rimet trophy for the first (and only time), led by talisman Bobby Charlton and the outstanding Bobby Moore in defense.

Since then, England has had a protracted era of disappointment and heartache. They have failed to advance to another major championship, and their only two fourth-place results came in 1990 and in Russia in 2018. Several quarterfinal and round of 16 exits have been wedged between these victories, and England will be aiming to demonstrate some consistency once the competition gets underway in Qatar.

Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

It should not be surprising that England arrived in Qatar with a little bit of extra time because they have won 76 and lost only 11 of their 112 World Cup qualifying matches to date. In reality, they finished with an incredible 39 goals scored while winning 8 and drawing 2 of their 10 UEFA Group I games. They even defeated San Marino 10-0 in Serravalle. In two games against Andorra, the Three Lions also scored nine goals, and they ultimately defeated Poland by six points to win UEFA Group I.

Date Match Final Score Winner
25th March 2021 England vs San Marino 5-0 England
28th March 2021 Albania vs England 0-2 England
31st March 2021 England vs Poland 2-1 England
2nd September 2021 Hungary vs England 0-4 England
5th September 2021 England vs Andorra 4-0 England
8th September 2021 Poland vs England 1-1 Draw
9th October 2021 Andorra vs England 0-5 England
12th October 2021 England vs Hungary 1-1 Draw
12th November 2021 England vs Albania 5-0 England
15th November 2021 San Marino vs England 0-10 England

England Players to Watch

It might be exceedingly difficult to choose three players that stand out from the crowd given the abundance of superstars in England’s roster. But we’ve selected some that could leave the most impression in Qatar:

  • Raheem Sterling: a seasoned international who has scored some pivotal goals for England, despite the fact that he continues to polarise fans across the country. In fact, he has scored 19 goals in 77 international matches, and his quickness and deft movement helped the Three Lions defeat Hungary 4-0 in their qualifying match. In addition to being 27 years old and approaching his prime, Sterling also has something to prove after moving for £47.5 million from Manchester City to Chelsea in the summer.
  • Jordan Pickford: another goalkeeper that splits opinion among club and national supporters. Since 2016, he has also made the most mistakes that resulted in goals in the Premier League. In contrast, Pickford is a different player while wearing an England jersey. Over the course of his 45 appearances, Pickford’s agility and superb passing have given Gareth Southgate’s team a sense of defensive certainty. In the winter, he will serve as the final line of defence once more and be essential to England’s chances of moving on.
  • Mason Mount: a 23-year-old attacking midfielder for Chelsea who is renowned for his vision, awareness, and positional versatility, is emerging as a significant creative force for England. The wandering midfielder also has a strong work ethic and a drive to lead the charge, and in his 31 international appearances, his unerring eye for goal has contributed to four goals. In 250 career appearances, he has also scored 55 goals, which works out to almost one goal per five games.

USA Preview

With the USA now rated 14th in the world and designated as the second-best CONCACAF side, we’re used to watching them play at the highest level of international football (behind 12th-ranked Mexico). The team has advanced significantly since hosting the 1994 World Cup, when it was an outsider in the sport and had only taken part in one World Cup since 1950.

Beginning with a 2-0 loss in Costa Rica in the final CONCACAF qualifying game, the USA has also experienced a patchy stretch of play since the beginning of March, similar to England. Since then, the US has drawn disappointing matches against Uruguay (0-0) and El Salvador while defeating WC rivals Grenada (5-0) and Morocco (3-0).

World Cup History

After losing in the group stage at Italia ’90, the USA underwent somewhat of a breakthrough on the international scene in 1994 when they hosted the World Cup. The nation had not participated in the finals since 1950, and although they also lost in the group stage in Brazil this time around, they managed to defeat a highly anticipated England team by a score of 1-0 in Belo Horizonte.

The 1994 tournament was undoubtedly a trigger for the United States, since this was the first of six straight finals the country participated in from 1994 to 2014. They ultimately missed out on qualifying for the finals in 2018, so they will be happy to have advanced this time. Though they only needed to play three games to do so, the USA’s finest finals performance occurred during the inaugural World Cup in Uruguay in 1930, when they advanced to the semifinals.

Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

The USA gained an automatic bye into the third and final round of World Cup qualification as the second-ranked CONCACAF team. The team struggled to establish their dominance in the group, losing three and drawing four of their 14 games, and ultimately qualifying in the third (and last) spot by virtue of goal differential over Costa Rica. While their performance on the road saw them win just once (against Honduras), they also suffered three losses, the USA at least managed to remain unbeaten at home and win six of their seven qualifiers there.

Date Match Final Score Winner
2nd September 2021 El Salvador vs USA 0-0 Draw
5th September 2021 USA v Canada -1-1 Draw
8th September 2021 Honduras v USA 1-4 USA
7th October 2021 USA v Jamaica 2-0 USA
10th October 2021 Panama vs USA 1-0 Panama
13th October 2021 USA v Costa Rica 2-1 USA
12th November 2021 USA v Mexico 2-0 USA
16th November 2021 Jamaica vs USA 1-1 Draw
27th January 2022 USA v El Salvador 1-0 USA
30th January 2022 Canada vs USA 2-0 Canada
2nd February 2022 USA v Honduras 3-0 USA
24th March 2022 Mexico vs USA 0-0 Draw
27th March 2022 USA vs Panama 5-1 USA
30th March 2022 Costa Rica vs USA 2-0 Costa Rica

USA Players to Watch

A number of American footballers compete for teams like Chelsea, Juventus, and Leeds United in Europe’s top leagues. But if you’re going to be taking part in some online sports betting this World Cup, who are the three players in Qatar to keep an eye on?

  • Brenden Aaronson: We’ll start with the 21-year-old Brenden Aaronson, who last summer transferred from Red Bull Salzburg to Leeds United for $30.2 million, making him the second-most expensive American football player of all time. He is an attacking midfielder with a relentless work ethic and a keen eye for goal. In 22 international matches (including two during World Cup qualifying), he has scored six goals. He also scored his first goal for Leeds against Chelsea in the Premier League.
  • Antonee Robinson: One of the first names on the team sheet for the matchup with England will be Fulham’s Antonee Robinson, the model of the contemporary fullback. He is a fantastic attacking outlet and is more than capable of defending against speed and trickery because to his exceptional quickness and stamina. He also possesses a true eye for goal; of his two goals for his country (in 29 appearances to date), one was a pivotal goal that secured a 1-0 victory against El Salvador during CONCACAF qualifying.
  • Christian Pulisic: a talented and seasoned 23-year-old forward for Chelsea, despite the fact that he is a little injury prone. With 21 goals in 51 international games to date, this elusive winger also possesses a talismanic presence and a real goal threat. This total consists of five significant goals scored during CONCACAF qualification, with Pulisic leading the way with a hat-trick as the USA crushed Panama 5-1. A completely fit and firing Pulisic will be essential if the USA are to advance from Group A.

England vs USA Betting Odds

We’ll now evaluate the main football betting options for England vs USA, including match winner, over/under bets on the total goals scored, and both teams to score. For your convenience, we’ve also provided the most recent 2022 FIFA World Cup odds on our sportsbook we’ve mentioned so you can make well-informed choices.

Match Winner

England to Win USA to Win Draw
1.51 5.80 3.95

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 Goals
1.83 1.84

Who Will Win? England vs USA Prediction

According to many experts, England and the United States are the two top teams in Group B, and their respective FIFA rankings of fifth and fourteenth support this. Additionally, the teams have faced off twice at the World Cup, with the USA going undefeated after their spectacular victory in 1950 and a 1-1 tie in 2010 because to a terrible mistake made by Three Lions goalkeeper Rob Green.

However, England has prevailed in eight of their total of 11 encounters with the US (including nine friendly), and there’s no denying that they have a stronger pedigree and a little better team than the US. Therefore, a victory for England is likely, but Southgate’s team will have to put in a lot of effort to defeat their closest Group B adversaries.

Our England vs USA prediction: England to win.

Our England vs USA Betting Tips

The odds appear to show that England is the favourite to win the 2022 World Cup, and the USA’s team may not be as strong as the odds suggest. In light of this, there may be some benefit in betting on the United States to win, but it is important to keep in mind that there is still an implied chance of 55.6% that England will win.

We like the idea of betting on both teams to score, where we offer odds of 1.88. Undoubtedly, the USA has some talented and quick strikers, and England’s defence has been frail recently. Over 2.5 goals being scored in the game is also a good bet with us since we allow you to back this at a price of 1.83.

Sean Fenech

Content Writer at Betiton™

Sean has been writing casino and iGaming content ever since 2018. Moreover, he is also an alumnus of the University of Malta, having graduated with an M.A. in English in 2020. Finally, he also manages the Betiton Medium blog, where he publishes research into the history of popular casino games. You can access this blog here: https://betiton.medium.com/

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