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Germany vs Japan Prediction – 2022 World Cup

Sean Fenech
August 24, 2022
Modified: November 10, 2022

On November 23rd, the tenth FIFA World Cup game kicks off, and it could be one of the games of the tournament. Inside the Khalifa International Stadium, Germany take on the tricky opponents of Japan. This is your classic fixture that has all the perfect attributes to entertain and excite. Our Germany vs Japan prediction predicts goals and the chance of an upset, and we could well have a remarkable game on our hands.

In our World Cup 2022 predictions guide for the Germany vs Japan fixture, we will be aiding you with your own online sports betting enterprise. We have the knowledge, the understanding, and the historical record of success that will help you pick the right results for this game. Oh, and well done for joining the winning team that is Betiton™, where you have access to the best Germany vs Japan odds online.

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Our Germany vs Japan prediction: Draw.

Germany Preview

If you’re after one of the favourites to back in any World Cup, Germany would be the choice of many bettors as a World Cup predictor winner. This is because of their long and illustrious history with the competition. However, recent history doesn’t paint the greatest of pictures when looking at their footballing achievements. This has affected their World Cup betting odds that currently have them placed as 6th favourite to win the tournament, with odds averaging at 10 to 1. Not too bad if you’re a risk taker, but how likely is it that they can progress that far?

Given the group that Germany is in, it is considered to be “the group of death”, which also includes Spain and Costa Rica. So, will they make an early exit out of the competition, and will Japan be the team to hammer the first nail into their coffin?

World Cup History

You cannot speak about the World Cup without mentioning Germany, and this is because they are one of the most successful teams to have taken part in the competition. In total, Germany has secured the trophy 4 times. First in 1954, then 1974, 1990, and more recently in 2014. They have also been Runners-Up 4 times. In their previous outing, they only reached the Group Stage of the competition in 2018, a massive fall from grace given the previous World Cup success.

But should we be reading too much into their recent decline? Well, World Cup predictions are always going to place Germany in the top 10. The country has never not qualified for a place in the competition, with exception of the 1950 tournament when they were banned for obvious reasons. Right now, the team is in limbo. They are a safe bet, but also a risky bet, and we have Germany locked in at 9/2 to lift the trophy.

Let’s take a look at how they managed to progress through the knockout stages to make it on the plane over to Qatar. Can we perhaps use the results as a way of projecting the result when they come to face Japan on November 23rd?

Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

Can the results that lead up to the World Cup help your football betting in anyway? Well, it’s the only measure of a club’s current form, plus, we may need to factor in the fact that qualifiers aren’t exactly set up fairly when bigger nations are pitted against countries that you’d find hard to locate on a map.

Let’s see how the Germans did on their road to Qatar.

Date Match Final Score
25/03/2021 Germany vs Iceland 3-0
28/03/2021 Romania vs Germany 0-1
31/03/2021 Germany vs North Macedonia 1-2
02/09/2021 Liechtenstein vs Germany 0-2
05/09/2021 Germany vs Armenia 6-0
08/09/2021 Iceland vs Germany 0-4
08/10/2021 Germany vs Romania 2-1
11/10/2021 North Macedonia vs Germany 0-4
11/11/2021 Germany vs Liechtenstein 9-0
14/11/2021 Armenia vs Germany 1-4

Germany Players to Watch

Will the players featured in the squad influence your World Cup bets? Germany certainly boasts some highly reputable defence and game winners. It is an area of the game to be considered and not just for the prediction of what the result will be. Given our range of betting markets at Betiton™, it would help you to perhaps know the star players that you can then select alternative bets for. An example of this would be first to score in the fixture or top scorer in the competition. Player to make most fouls or win free kicks. Here are the best players in the German squad to watch in this fixture.

  • Joshua Kimmich: Position: Defensive Midfield. The squad will be looking to Joshua to control the transition play between defence and midfield, which is a big role for this team. He currently has 67 caps and 4 goals. Expect to see a yellow card on him in this tournament as he has 7 so far. Plus, an impressive 19 assists.
  • Toni Kroos: Position: Central Midfield, and at 32, this will be his last World Cup appearance. Kroos has 106 caps, 17 goals, 19 assists, and 7 yellow cards. This all singles out a very important player who will bag a goal in this competition.
  • Kai Havertz: Position: Attacking Midfield and poster boy for the new German era of football. Kai has 28 appearances, 8 goals, and 10 assists, the return on his stats is impressive despite the number of caps.

Japan Preview

They might be part of the “group of death” but by no certainty are they going to just roll over and die in this group. On the surface of it, you might have everyone and their dog telling you that Germany vs Japan has a German win all over it, but it’s not that simple. Our mantra and in the almighty words of Jimmy Greaves, “it’s a funny old game.” Japan will be a tough competition, and worth being cautious about when making our Germany vs Japan prediction, as it can swing anyway. Germany could win, Japan could win, and the game could end in a bore draw. The uncertainty makes this a mouth-watering game, and if there is to be an upset in this “group of death”, then it would not be unsurprising if this were the match to unsettle the German resolve.

It would not be remiss to say that the Japanese teams in the past have always been a thorn in the side, a pest, but very well trained and drilled in their task. History is always placed them as outsiders, but they have many times proved the doubters wrong. Right now, their odds at Betiton™ are 249/1.

World Cup History

You will always find Japan has outsider odds, and it is no different with the WC 2022 betting odds. While 249 to 1 are fair odds because they will never win the tournament, the team certainly has the pedigree to make heads turn.

1998 was Japan’s first World Cup experience, having never qualified for previous tournaments. Since they have featured, they have often been the underdog who soon became the fans’ second favourite team. This was all down to their 2002 performance in the duel-hosted tournament between South Korea and Japan. In this tournament, Japan finished 9th, and as a result, a flux of international players started to shift into the domestic European leagues.

In 2006, they only reached the Group Stages, not even registering a win. 2010 and Japan once again make it to 9th position, to then repeat the pattern and not win a single game in the 2018 competition. In the last World Cup, they make the Round of 16, which if the pattern continues, Japan is not destined to progress out of the Group Stage.

Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

The road to Qatar for Japan was a long one that had a second and third qualifying round both see them compete with tough teams that are on equal par with their qualities. This makes their journey more challenging than what their opponents faced.

For the Second Round, Japan came top of the table with 8 wins out of 8 matches. What follows are the results of the Third Round that saw them finish second in the table after 10 games.

Date Match Final Score
02/09/2021 Japan vs Oman 0-1
07/09/2021 China vs Japan 0-1
07/10/2021 Saudi Arabia vs Japan 1-0
12/10/2021 Japan vs Australia 2-1
11/11/2021 Vietnam vs Japan 0-1
16/11/2021 Oman vs Japan 0-1
27/01/2022 Japan vs China 2-0
01/02/2022 Japan vs Saudi Arabia 2-0
24/03/2022 Australia vs Japan 0-2
29/03/2022 Japan vs Vietnam 1-1

Japan Players to Watch

While the team might be able to rise to the challenge that the Germans would put forward. Are there any stand-out players within the Japan squad that could turn the game on its head and drag the team over the 90 mins to get the three points? Here are our top picks of star players that you may want to place side bets on through our extensive betting markets at Betiton™.

  • Takumi Minamino: Position: Right Midfield. One of the most decorated Japanese players that play in the European and English leagues. Minamino has 42 caps, 17 goals, and carries 8 assists, which for his game count is very impressive. A Key player for Japan.
  • Junya Ito: Position: Right Wing. At 29, this most likely will be his last world cup. He comes into it with 36 caps, 9 goals, and 9 assists. Very effective impact player that will shine in this tournament.
  • Yuya Osako: Position: Centre Forward. Star striker for Japan comes into the competition with 57 caps, 25 goals, and 8 assists. Money should be on him to score during the group stages. If he is on form, then he will be the group of death’s grim reaper.

Germany vs Japan Betting Odds

This is a tough match to call and many will have the Germans as clear favourites to win this game. The betting markets have Germany down at 33/100 to win, with Japan at 77/10. A draw would be a cunning bet to place at odds of 21/5.

However, at Betiton™ you have many other markets to bet on that look at other areas of the game. Here are the two most popular side bets bettors tend to punt on; Match Winner and Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Match Winner

Germany to Win Japan to Win Draw
1.36 8.00 5.05

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 Goals
1.61 2.13

Who Will Win? Germany vs Japan Prediction

The best way to make football predictions is to go with your gut instinct. What our Germany vs Japan prediction is, is that this will be a tight game, and it would be a very typical thing for the Germans to concede an early goal. The energy of the game and the difference in physicality may give the Germans an advantage when it comes to corners. It is worth considering how corners and free kicks could impact the game.

It’s a big call, but opening game, nerves are high, we are going to call this a score draw, 1-1.

Our Germany vs Japan prediction: Draw.

Our Germany vs Japan Betting Tips

We have several World Cup tips for this fixture, and it will help you to perhaps think about other areas of play and not necessarily just bet on the winner.

1: There is going to be a height difference so set-piece will be an advantage for Germany. The corner count is going to be high for them, so a betting market to consider.

2: Climate, the Japanese are more used to warmer climates than the Germans, and this might affect stamina. It might be worth looking at late goals being scored during the in-play bets where you will find good odds in the last 10 minutes if there is only a goal separating the teams.

3: Consistency. The Germans have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, and this trend may continue.

Sean Fenech

Content Writer at Betiton™

Sean has been writing casino and iGaming content ever since 2018. Moreover, he is also an alumnus of the University of Malta, having graduated with an M.A. in English in 2020. Finally, he also manages the Betiton Medium blog, where he publishes research into the history of popular casino games. You can access this blog here: https://betiton.medium.com/