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Netherlands vs Ecuador Prediction – 2022 World Cup

Sean Fenech
November 22, 2022
Modified: November 22, 2022

At the Khalifa International Stadium, the Netherlands will play South American team Ecuador in the 19th game of the 2022 Qatar World Cup (and fourth in Group A). On November 25, the match is set to begin at 7 p.m. local time, with Louis Van Gaal’s Dutch team clearly the favourites to advance their campaign with a victory. What are the chances that Ecuador can surprise its more prestigious competitors with a group stage victory, and how likely is this outcome? We’ll walk you through all the details of football betting so that each one of our World Cup 2022 predictions is accurate. You can learn all there is to know about how it functions and what odds we’re offering for this match. Our Netherlands vs Ecuador prediction will ensure that nothing in this procedure disappoints, whether your objective is World Cup betting or just satisfying your curiosity of who will win. Let’s get started!

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Our Netherlands vs Ecuador prediction: Netherlands to win.

Netherlands Preview

Although the Netherlands‘ defensive structure let them down during Euro 2020 (especially during their disastrous 2-0 round of 16 loss to Czech Republic), the team has subsequently started an excellent 13-match undefeated streak since Louis Van Gaal was reappointed in September 2021. This run has seen some important UEFA Nations League and World Cup qualification games, including a cool 2-0 victory over Norway in Rotterdam and a thrilling 4-1 triumph over nearby Belgium.

As a consequence, the team will travel to Qatar in top shape, with a FIFA world rating of ninth and a position as the sixth-best team in Europe. As the Dutch attempt to win the Jules Rimet trophy for the first time ever, they’ll unquestionably be one of the teams to beat in the Middle East!

World Cup History

Prior to 1974, the Netherlands only competed in two competitive World Cup finals games, losing both of them in competitions in 1934 and 1938. They did, however, shine in West Germany in 1974, where a team led by the legendary Johan Cruyff and the brilliant Johan Neeskens won five of their seven games and advanced to the World Cup final. The hosts, however, prevented them from achieving the greatest honour as they overcame giving up a penalty in the first minute to win 2-1 with a goal from Gerd Muller.

Amazingly, four years later a second final took place in South America, but this time a super-talented Dutch team lost to the hosts as Argentina won 3-1. Then came a period of decline before Holland made it to the quarterfinals in 1994. (eventually losing 3-2 to eventual winners Brazil). In France ’98, another group of incredibly gifted players came up painfully short. The Netherlands ultimately finished fourth after losing in a penalty shootout in the semifinals (once again against Brazil).

The Netherlands have also done well in more recent competitions, making it to their third final in South Africa but falling to Spain, and finishing an amazing third following a strong performance in Brazil in 2014.

Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

There was a lot of pressure on the Netherlands as they began their 2022 campaign in UEFA Group G after they did not make the World Cup in 2018. Nevertheless, they were able to win seven and lose only one of their 10 games in the qualifying round, finally taking first place in the group by two points over Turkey and securing an automatic spot in Qatar. A 6-1 thrashing of Turkey in Amsterdam (the Dutch having lost the reverse match during the first round of matches) and a 7-0 victory in Gibraltar are two more noteworthy triumphs from the season.

Date Match Final Score Winner
24th March 2021 Turkey vs Netherlands 2-4 Netherlands
27th March 2021 Netherlands vs Latvia 2-0 Netherlands
30th March 2021 Gibraltar vs Netherlands 0-7 Netherlands
1st September 2021 Norway vs Netherlands 1-1 Draw
4th September 2021 Netherlands vs Montenegro 4-0 Netherlands
7th September 2021 Netherlands vs Turkey 6-1 Netherlands
8th October 2021 Latvia vs Netherlands 0-1 Netherlands
11th October 2021 Netherlands vs Gibraltar 6-0 Netherlands
13th November 2021 Montenegro vs Netherlands 2-2 Draw
16th November 2021 Netherlands vs Norway 2-0 Netherlands

Netherlands Players to Watch

There are a tonne of talents on the Netherlands team, and many of them will probably go to Qatar. For the sake of our Netherlands vs Ecuador prediction and our World Cup tips, three of the greatest have been chosen by the Betiton team for you to keep a look out for throughout the World Cup.

  • Matthijs de Ligt: Although Virgil Van Dijk may receive the praise for the Netherlands’ defence, Van Dijk’s younger colleague is still a very great player. Even though he is only 23 years old, the Bayern Munich player and former Ajax star has already made 255 club appearances for three of the top teams in Europe and has so far earned 38 caps for his country. He scored two goals for his nation as well, and he still poses a serious danger from free kicks and corners.
  • Frenkie de Jong: a 25-year-old who has spent the whole summer at the centre of a drawn-out transfer battle between Barcelona and his present club, Manchester United. De Jong is a terrific technical who can play as a holding or box-to-box midfielder, and while he only has one goal in 44 international appearances to date, his ability to control play and create opportunities is crucial for the Dutch. This is true regardless of what his club future holds.
  • Tyrell Malacia: a combative left defender who is only 22 years old, has already won over Manchester United supporters with his tenacity, tackling prowess, and purposeful play. In addition, he provides speed and a reliable attacking outlet by underlapping and running inside as a winger or overlapping outside his wide forward. Prior to earning his senior debut against Montenegro on September 4, 2021, he had previously represented the Netherlands at nearly every junior level (he has won five caps overall).

Ecuador Preview

FIFA has the Netherlands as the eighth-best team in the world, while their Group A opponents are only rated as the 44th-best team in the world. Interestingly, according to their rating, they are just the seventh-best South American team, but it should be remembered that they managed to go to the World Cup ahead of a Chilean team that is rated 29th in the world and Colombia, which is ranked 17th.

Ecuador secured the fourth and last automatic CONMEBOL spot ahead of Peru after losing only one of their final nine World Cup qualifying games after falling to Venezuela on October 10. In truth, Ecuador has only lost one of their 12 games played since the loss in Caracas, and their 1-1 draw with Argentina in March (at which time they qualified for the World Cup with a last-second goal) demonstrated their capacity to compete against the best.

World Cup History

Ecuador has a short World Cup finals history and didn’t truly qualify for the competition until 2002, much like their Group A counterpart Senegal. Despite their first finals victory (against Croatia in Yokohama) and finishing with three points from their three games, they were eliminated in the group stage of this event.

The team did a little better at the following tournament in 2006, where they managed to advance from a difficult group that included the hosts Germany and win two of their three games against Poland and Costa Rica. After that, England defeated them 1-0 in the round of 16 on a spectacular David Beckham free-kick. Ecuador has only participated in one other competition since then, exiting the 2014 World Cup in Brazil’s group stage.

Qualification and Road to the World Cup 2022

As we’ve already said, Ecuador’s journey to the 2022 World Cup championships in Qatar was anything from straightforward as the team just missed Peru for the last automatic qualification spot by two points. In order to do this, they played seven games, drew five, and lost six, scoring 27 goals and giving up 19 for a final score of 26 points. Notable triumphs were home victory over Uruguay (4-2) and Colombia (6-1), while Enner Valencia’s equaliser against Argentina in Guayaquil’s 93rd minute clinched Ecuador’s dramatic qualification for the finals.

Date Match Final Score Winner
8th October 2020 Argentina vs Ecuador 1-0 Argentina
13th October 2020 Ecudaor vs Uruguay 4-2 Ecuador
12th November 2020 Bolivia vs Ecuador 2-3 Ecuador
17th November 2020 Ecuador vs Colombia 6-1 Ecuador
4th June 2021 Brazil vs Ecuador 2-0 Brazil
8th June 2021 Ecuador vs Peru 1-2 Peru
2nd September 2021 Ecuador vs Paraguay 2-0 Ecuador
5th September 2021 Ecuador vs Chile 0-0 Draw
9th September 2021 Uruguay vs Ecuador 1-0 Uruguay
7th October 2021 Ecuador vs Bolivia 3-0 Ecuador
10th October 2021 Venezuela vs Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
14th October 2021 Colombia vs Ecuador 0-0 Draw
11th November 2021 Ecuador vs Venezuela 1-0 Ecuador
16th November 2021 Chile vs Ecuador 0-2 Ecuador
27th January 2022 Ecuador vs Brazil 1-1 Draw
1st February 2022 Peru vs Ecuador 1-1 Draw
24th March 2022 Paraguay vs Ecuador 3-1 Paraguay
29th March 2022 Ecuador vs Argentina 1-1 Draw

Ecuador Players to Watch

The Ecuadorian team has a few players that are quite well-known, including stars who play in the Bundesliga, Premier League, Ligue 1, and many other European championships. We’ve picked out three stars for you to watch this winter on in the list below:

  • Enner Valencia: The 32-year-old captain and talisman for Ecuador will take the stage first. In 72 appearances for his country, Valencia has amassed an impressive 35 goals. The striker scored three goals during the 2022 World Cup qualifying process as well, including that crucial, dramatic equaliser against Argentina in the final round of games. Valencia has also scored 136 goals in 475 club appearances, making him a formidable opponent in the Middle East.
  • Moisés Caicedo: Despite just being 20 years old, Moisés Caicedo has already established himself at Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. The midfielder, who is equally combative and energetic, has quickly emerged as the team’s beating heart while also displaying a keen eye for goal since making his competitive debut against Argentina in 2020. In order to do this, he scored twice in qualification matches against Uruguay and Chile, helping to seal significant victories that guaranteed his team’s spot in Qatar.
  • Gonzalo Plata: a 21-year-old winger who has made 28 appearances for Ecuador’s national team and five goals, is one of the nation’s brightest players (including three during World Cup qualifying against Uruguay, Colombia and Peru). He was also granted a permanent contract with Real Valladolid in Spain until 2027 thanks to his impressive play and lightning-quick speed. The attacker had a breakout season in 2021/22, making 30 senior appearances and tallying six goals in the Segunda División.

Netherlands vs Ecuador Betting Odds

At this point, we’ll quickly review the primary online sports betting options for the matchup between Ecuador and the Netherlands. These include betting on the outcome of the game, both teams to score, and the over/under market for the overall number of goals scored. We’ve also included the most recent odds from our sportsbook.

Match Winner

Netherlands to Win Ecuador to Win Draw
1.74 4.50 3.45

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 Goals
2.03 1.68

Who Will Win? Netherlands vs Ecuador Prediction

The Netherlands are by far the favourites to defeat Ecuador and keep moving toward Group A qualifying, as can be seen from the odds provided. However, it is undeniable that Ecuador has a strong goal threat in the shape of players like Enner Valencia and Gonzalo Plata, and the Dutch defence occasionally feels exposed (as witnessed during the 4-2 defeat to Turkey in qualifying). Therefore, even though our football predictions say that the Netherlands will win, we also believe that Ecuador will make a game of it and pose serious problems for their opponents on the counterattack.

Our Netherlands vs Ecuador prediction: Netherlands to win.

Our Netherlands vs Ecuador Betting Tips

We don’t think there is much value in this game from a match betting standpoint because Ecuador is arguably unlikely to win and the Netherlands are very short odds. Given the South American team’s competitiveness and goal threat, handicap betting may also be somewhat of a busted flush.

Sean Fenech

Content Writer at Betiton™

Sean has been writing casino and iGaming content ever since 2018. Moreover, he is also an alumnus of the University of Malta, having graduated with an M.A. in English in 2020. Finally, he also manages the Betiton Medium blog, where he publishes research into the history of popular casino games. You can access this blog here: https://betiton.medium.com/